August 04, 2003
The Pot Calling the Kettle...
As I was walking down the escalator this evening to board the train home from work, a woman came down behind me, and seeing that there was a train arriving at the platform, she elbowed me aside and bolted down the escalator, also pushing aside a little girl mistakenly standing on the left. Alas (for her), she got there too late, just as the doors were closing for the last time. She ran and banged on the first door of the front car, as the driver stuck his head out of the window for the "all clear!"
"Let me in!" she screamed at him.
"Running late," he said as the train sped off.
"Asshole!" she yelled.
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Archer, not
So I was going to respond to the Anti-realist's latest defense of bills of attainder, when I discover that Lawrence Solum has done it for me.
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Party Lines
If you read Eugene Volokh's post on why he's a party line voter, be sure not to neglect Jacob Levy's much earlier discussion of the same topic:
Here are the intuitions pulling in two directions. On one hand, parties matter.
On the other hand, it's strategically important to encourage those elements of the opposing party that have views most like one's own, for two reasons. One is so that the opposing party perceives electoral returns in shifting toward your view. The other is to prevent your own party from taking you for granted. . .
(read more)
UPDATE: Jacob Levy has posted the same thing himself.
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Cheerleading
Nothing much to say about it but here's a fun interview with Judge Richard Posner from CNBC last Monday.
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John Lott
(via the FIREARMSREGPROF listserv): An intriguing story claiming Gun Statistics Expert John Lott Victim of Identity Theft while the more level-headed point out that the site is really just a parody. But for a truly amusing anti-Lott site, try Who is Mary Rosh?
Notes: If you're not up on the John Lott controversy, you're not missing much; he's a pro-gun economist who's been challenged on various methodological and personal counts. I don't know enough about the accusations or the evidence to voice a view on whether he is more sinned against or sinning.
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The Girl Said No
Sara Butler makes a brief reappearance on Diotima to continue her Ampersand Blogging. She makes two points-- she defends Illinois's rape law (which holds that a woman (or a man) can revoke consent at any time) and she concurs with Dahlia Lithwick's assessment that rape law in general is screwed up. I agree. But what to do?
Somebody with more prosecutorial experience than I should correct me here, but my understanding is that part of what makes a rape-law-repair so difficult is that the current system is messed up in both directions. The law doesn't require much in the way of proof, but prosecutors and juries often do. The trouble is that, for date-rape and acquaintance-rape, the entire trial usually turns on the question of "did she consent?" And short of tape-recorders, video-cameras, or Ms. Lithwick's suggestion of "mandatory threesomes" there's simply no circumstantial evidence to answer the question, most of the time.
As I understand it, Ms. Lithwick suggests we might shorten rape sentences, under the theory that the jury would be more willing to convict on less-than-concrete evidence if the penalty weren't so severe. This doesn't seem like a great idea to me. Better to let N guilty men go free, after all . . . and even reducing the criminal penalty so that we can bandy the sentence about a little more flippantly won't do much to erase the social stigma of being a rapist.
So it's a dilemma. I think that this very problem is what leads states to forbid assisted suicide and the like. It's hard enough to figure out if Person A consented to act X with Person B when you've got Person A saying one thing and Person B saying the other. Imagine how much harder a fair trial gets when Person A isn't even around to talk. Of course, the assisted suicide problem can be solved by signing an "I consent" affidavit or a video recording; it's a decision people only make once and usually not in the heat of the moment. It's pretty unfeasible to add that kind of paper-trail verificationism to sex.
The only solution I can currently think of isn't a great one, indeed it's one of the "problems" with American rape law that Ms. Lithwick cites. Bring in some of the the sexual histories of the defendant and the accuser (note that this only need apply where the issue being tried is whether "consent" occurred, not when the defendant denies intercourse altogether, in which case other circumstantial evidence is available). If it's a "he said/she said" thing, then I simply can't think of any fair way to figure out whether "he" or "she" is telling the truth other than to look at the kinds of things they've said in the past. If she has a long history of dubious rape accusations, or he has a long trail of women to testify against him, those things are going to have to count. (I think I would render as inadmissable, though, evidence that either one of them had a history of consensual intercourse; that's more likely to confuse the jury than to help it).
No, it's not a pretty solution, but if the trial comes down to a credibility contest (which, absent a camera or documentation, it must) then it's probably marginally better for a jury to make an informed guess than an uninformed one. But I'm not happy with this answer, so I'll join Sara in asking, any suggestions?
MAILBAG UPDATE:
Reader Felix Hortensio poses this "hallucination":
girl agrees to sex. halfway through, boy gives up for some reason-- let's say he discovers that girl has hairy underarms. girl maintains that what she was consenting to was an orgasm, dammit-- she most certainly did not consent to *this*! consent invalid; situation = rape?
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Assimilation
The Volokh folks have claimed another-- GMU Law Professor David Bernstein. The astute reader will have seen this coming, though, since Professor Bernstein's name has been in the "We:" sidebar all weekend.
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20 Questions for Daniel Drezner
It's time for the blogosphere to turn its eye inward. In the start of what we hope will be a long-running feature, we would like to present an interview with blogging great, Dan Drezner. We sent Professor Drezner 20 questions on blogging, political science, and Buffy the Vampire Slayer, and he responded thusly. Enjoy.
1: Why did you originally start a blog?
I read blogs way back when they were called “me-zines.” Post – 9/11, I noticed that the blogosphere was focusing much more on foreign policy and international relations, but that none of the big bloggers had any real background in international relations. So, I thought there was a niche I could fill.
2: How much time do you spend blogging, and where do you find the time to blog?
The time varies – sometimes it takes me 10 minutes to write a post, other times a few hours. There have been periods – the Trent Lott affair and Operation Iraqi Freedom – when I probably devoted half the day to blogging.
I surfed the web for news/commentary before I started blogging, so I don’t think it’s sucking up too much more time.
3: You now teach at the University of Chicago, which is reported to be one of the nerdiest colleges in the U.S. Is this reputation justified? And how does the U of C compare to, say, Stanford?
After I visited the U of C for a job interview, my wife asked me what I thought of the place. I answered, “geek heaven.” I stand by my original description.
As for the differences between Stanford and Chicago, well, let’s just say that no student at Chicago has yet:
a) Cried after receiving a B+ for the course
b) Flaked out on a meeting with me because, “it was raining.”
4: The U of C also has a reputation for relatively un-inflated grades. Do you think this reputation is justified? And to what extent should the grading curve differ between disciplines? Should Political Science departments be less willing than Math departments to flunk people?
My suspicion – and bear in mind I have no systematic data on this – is that grades at the University of Chicago are relatively un-inflated compared to its peer institutions. Compared with most state schools, however, there probably has been significant grade inflation.
I can’t really speak to the differences between departments.
5: You've now guest-blogged more than once on The Volokh Conspiracy. Have you ever given any thought (or received an invitation) to become a permanent conspirator, like your colleague Jacob Levy?
Eugene hasn’t invited me, so I haven’t given it a great deal of thought. Not being either a lawyer or an expert on constitutions, I’m not sure how great a long-term fit I’d be. It is nice to have the louder megaphone from time to time, however.
6: Your columns appear in the New Republic Online, so it might be safe to assume you read that. Are there any in-print publications that you find absolutely indispensable?
Well, Entertainment Weekly is a must-read. International Organization as well (that’s the lead academic journal for international relations scholars). And, of course, the Economist.
7: Is there any blog you read regularly that you think deserves much greater attention in the blogosphere?
No, not really – this is not because they don’t exist so much as that I haven’t read them. Ironically, this is the major opportunity cost of blogging for me – I have far less time to peruse new blogs.
8: As you've noted several times before, blogging and tenurable activity can often be in conflict. Have you ever avoided blogging on a controversial topic, or avoided posting controversial views, for fear that what you wrote could come back to haunt you during your tenure hearing?
Not really. I’ve posted a couple of times that I thought my senior colleague, Professor John Mearsheimer, was wrong about Iraq. On the other hand, knowing his intellectual style, he’d be appalled if I didn’t say what I thought on the subject.
There have been some controversial issues I’ve chosen not to blog about at length, but that has more to do with my own inchoate views on such questions rather than any fear of reprisal come tenure time.
9: Is there any topic that you've particularly enjoyed blogging on? That is, do you have a favorite post?
Hmmm… I think my favorite post was either this one on Trent Lott or this response to an alleged Osama bin Laden tape. The adolescent in me is still partial to this post, however.
10: You've written that your mother made you start using your middle initial (W) when you wrote your first academic article. Has your mother given you other advice that influenced your academic career?
“Made” is such a strong word. “Applied liberal doses of Jewish guilt” would be a more accurate description.
Beyond the middle initial, my mother’s advice has not really influenced my academic career. This has not stopped her from offering, however.
11: Was The Prisoner of Azkaban the best Harry Potter or what?
Sorry, I’m going to be a contrarian and go with the first book. For me, the best part of the Harry Potter books is Rowling’s ability to create such a compelling and detailed world. That was most evident in The Sorcerer’s Stone.
12: What should be done about the situation in North Korea-- and what are the odds that North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon in the next five years?
On our policy, I think what I said back in January still holds.
On North Korea using weapons, I’d say the odds are close to zero – if they did, it would be the end of their existence. Since the reason they’re trying to make the weapons in the first place is to ensure their survival, that would be a counterproductive move. To the leadership, all of the benefits of nuclear weapons comes from their potential and not actual use.
One final aside – bear in mind the possibility that the North Koreans don’t actually have an operational nuclear device. During the 1994 crisis, there was actually a serious rift among myriad intelligence agencies about whether the North Koreans had the engineering expertise to pull off making a bomb.
13: You've expressed discomfort with Howard Dean's stance on several issues. What Democratic presidential candidate do you most support, and would you support him (or her) over incumbent president Bush?
I don’t have a favorite at this point, really. This election cycle I’ll probably pull a Mickey Kaus and not decide until the last minute.
14: The Pentagon has quashed plans for a futures market in terrorism, which some suggest could have allowed a Hayekian aggregation of knowledge, but others think would have amounted to "a marketplace in death." Do you think such a market would have been effective at predicting terrorist attacks? In any case, would it have been a good idea?
I thought it was an innovative idea, and the political reaction to it was disturbing, more for the way it squelched government innovation in fighting terrorism than the intrinsic value of such a futures market.
People point to the Iowa Electronic Market as a parallel example, but if memory serves that market actually did a poor job of predicting the 2000 presidential election. The amount that can be traded in the IEM is capped at $500, which raises questions of whether Induced Value Theory holds. Also, I’m not completely confident that futures markets would do the best job predicting rare events like coups or terrorist attacks. However, Hal Varian knows a hell of a lot more about information markets than I do and he was quite keen on the idea.
At worst, though, the idea was harmless; the way it was scuttled – instant media coverage and a few Senators clearing their throats – was certainly disconcerting.
15: What role do you believe political theory now has within political science departments? What role should it have?
They don’t mess with us and we don’t mess with them… no, seriously, that is how it works in a lot of departments. The University of Chicago is a pleasant exception, because the rest of us are somewhat more familiar with political theory from teaching in the core, and our theorists happen to be exceptionally smart and interested in real-world phenomena.
16: There's a lot of (rather gloomy) advice out there for prospective graduate students in the humanities (I'm thinking here largely of Invisible Adjunct and those linked to her); I've seen less that's aimed at those looking at political science as a discipline. To what extent does Tim Burke's answer to whether one should go to grad school (No.) apply?
I think Tim’s a bit more embittered than I, but a lot of what he says is spot on. The necessary condition for going to graduate school is a genuine love for the subject material.
One advantage of political science is that there is some semblance of a “private sector” among the myriad think tanks, consulting firms, and government agencies interested in our services/talents. So there’s hope for those who want to get a Ph.D. but not necessarily stay in the academy.
17: Some have suggested that tenure has a greater impact in stifling the academic freedom of junior faculty than it does in promoting that of senior faculty. What are your feelings about the institution of tenure itself? Do you believe that calls for a reassessment of how modern universities are organized are overblown, or a prudent response to problems in academia?
My position on this is hopelessly compromised by self-interest. That said, I think calls for a reassessment are mostly overblown.
18: Political Science currently receives cursory treatment, if any, in pre-college curricula, much like Philosophy. A course on American Government, perhaps, or on Comparative Government at the very most. What should be the place of political science in pre-college curricula?
I’d be willing to sacrifice all poli sci courses in pre-college curricula if that meant a better grounding in history and economics.
19: What, in a nutshell, would be the Drezner plan for American Foreign Policy in the Middle East?
There is no nutshell answer. Sorry. See also the second part of my answer to question #8.
20: And finally: While of course it remained one of the best shows on TV, most observers would agree that Buffy, by the end of its run, had gone downhill. Would you characterize the degradation of quality as being more or less a slow downward slide, or do you think there were specific "jump the shark" moments? For example, was the crassly commercial decision to bring back Angel in season 3 the beginning of the end?
No, Season 3 rocked – Faith and the Mayor were the best villains in the history of the series. After that season, the quality of the episodes became somewhat more erratic, with a lot of high points (“Hush”, “Restless”, “The Body”, “Once More, With Feeling”, “Conversations With Dead People”) and a fair number of plodding episodes as well. If there was a “jump the shark” moment, however, it was unquestionably the decision to give Spike his soul back.
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